This saturday figures to feature the likely favorite and second choice for the Derby. Eskendereya will face moderate competition from Awesome Act and Jackson Bend, while Lookin at Lukcy takes on a relatively honest crop of 3yr olds at Santa Anita.
The tougher of the two on paper figures to be the SA Derby. With the likes of Sidney's Candy, Coracortado, Alphies Bet, and even Skipshot, it would be no suprise to see Lookin at Lucky get beat. Lucky's only defeat came over the SA surface and it was no small matter to see Bobby B looking at shipping him back out of town. The surface may not be one that he prefers. He appeared to be all out to beat Nobles Promise in the Rebel and may simply need this race before getting cued up for the Derby. I will look to beat him with Alphie's Bet and then combine Lucky on the bottom of exotics with Alphie's and Sydney's Candy. Skipshot will be my price play in the exotics.
The Wood Memorial on paper appears to be a race for second. Eskendereya looked simply awesome in the Fountain of Youth. He has had ample time to recover, as he was given extra time off by passing the Florida Derby, and seems to be coming into the race in top form. The extra time off may help avoid a bounce off that last big number. Awesome Act and Jackson Bend will take action but neither look like they can challenge to top one with anything less than a new lifetime best effort. The race does not offer much in the way of value so I will simply be watching and taking notes for the Derby.
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